Monday, June 8, 2009

It is easy to be cheated (10) - Orphan money

A life insurance company is allowed to distribute only 10% of the surplus of the participating fund to its sharehohlders. The remaining 90% of its surplus has to be distributed to participating policyholders. 
In past years, most insurance companies distribute nearly all of the 90% to its policyholders in the form of annual bonuses. In recent years, more insurance companies have started to keep a large porportion of the surplus in the fund, without distributing them as annual bonuses. Some companies have reduced their annual bonus by 50% or more. They promised that the undistributed surplus will be paid as terminal bonus when the policy matures or is terminated.
Many insurance companies have accumulated a large amount of the undistirbuted surplus. This is called orphan money. Each policyholder has involuntarily contributed to this orphan money, but the amount contributed by each policyholder is not identified. This retention is made without the agreement of the policyholders and against their wishes. Most of them preferred the surplus to be declared as an annual bonus.
It is easy for the insurance company to use the orphan money in many ways that do not benefit the policyholders that had involuntarily contributed to it. They can be used to pay high commission to increase the sale of new policies (which do not benefit the old policyholders), or to pay high salaries and commissions.
When the policies mature or are terminated, the amount of terminal bonus given to the policyholder is likely to be much lower than they are entitled to, based on their actual contribution in past years. There is no way for the policyholder to find out if they have been fairly treated. There is lack of transparency and accountability. The insurance company can declare that they have been fair in distributing the bonsues, but there is no way for this statement to be verified. The policyholder has no say in this matter.
Is this fair? Are the policyholders being cheated? Can you trust the future management to be fair?
As many financial institutions have acted unfairly in recent years, it is better not to trust them. Do not invest in the financial products that give a lot of discretion to the financial institution and insufficent rights to protect the consumer.
Tan Kin Lian

Logic Quiz 5-2 (Vol 4)

There are five houses with different colours in a row. Each occupant plays a different sport, keeps a different pet and drinks a different beverage.

 1. The vodka drinker lives in the second house.
 2. The soccer player lives left of the tennis player.
 3. The lawyer lives right of the volleyball player.
 4. The yellow house is left of the red house.
 5. The salesman keeps dalmatian.
 6. The manager lives left of the accountant.
 7. The accountant drinks rum.
 8. The beer drinker lives in the white house.
 9. The schnauzer owner lives left of the collie owner.
10. The martini drinker lives in the red house.
11. The vodka drinker lives in the blue house.
12. The cricket player keeps pomeranian.
13. The doctor lives in the last house.
14. The spaniel owner lives in the brown house.
15. The doctor lives right of the wine drinker.

Question: Who plays golf?

Give your answer here. The correct answer will be displayed when you submit your entry.

Benchmark
1 to 10 mins: very good
10 to 15 min: good
15 to 20 mins: fair
more than 20 mins: need more practice! 

More of the quiz
It appears every Sunday in The New Paper.

You can buy my book at these bookstores: 


President Obama's plans to create new jobs

President Obama's plans to create new jobs is likely to make a better impact than the measures adopted in Singapore (which gives a subsidy to employers who are doing fairly well). Read this article.

Sunday, June 7, 2009

It is easy to be cheated (9) - A better way to gamble

I consider investing to be similar to a gamble. The investor buys a financial product and hopes that the price will go up. If the price goes up, the investor makes a profit. If it comes down, the investor makes a loss. The investor has to take the invested asset does not fail and become valueless.
In recent times, it seems that even money kept in fixed deposit in a bank, which pays a low rate of interest, has the risk of default of the bank. Some people think that it is safer to keep the money under the bed!
To make the matter worse, financial institutions have created products that are risky and do not disclose the actual nature of the risk and do not pay a fair rate of return to the investor for the risk!
To avoid risk, it is better to invest in the following:
a) bonds that are issued by the AAA rated government. They offer a low yield, but is fair and safe.
b) A low cost, diversified fund invested in many bonds or shares, such as an indexed fund or exchange traded fund. Invest for the long term, to average out the good and bad years.
For investors who like the excitement of speculating on the price movement of shares or other assets, be honest and recognise that you are actually gambling. If you wish to gamble, it is better to go to a casino. The odds are fairer to the gambler, and the terms of the gamble are controlled by the authorities. You know the odds, and can decide on which side of the gamble to take!
Singapore is opening two world class casinos. When you gamble, make sure that you gamble an amount that you can afford to lose. Enjoy the gamble and good luck
Tan Kin Lian

Writing fee


Many magazines approach people to write articles, but they declined to make any payment or they pay a very low fee. It seems to be a habit in Singapore for people to be asked to write for free. I hope that mgazines are willing to pay writers at a fair rate, so that it is possible for writers to make a living.

I have been asked to contribute articles to magazines. Although I do not need the money, I asked for payment to be made to a non-profit organisation. If they refuse, I decline to write.


Saturday, June 6, 2009

Speaking fee

When a conference organiser in Singapore engages a speaker from overseas, they have to pay the travelling expenses and a speaker's fee. When they engage a local speaker, they pay nothing.

Recently, I have been invited to speak on a few occasions, and have declined. I am willing to speak only if they agree to make a modest donation to a non-profit organisation nominated by me.

I wish to encourage conference organisers, and our media companies, to be fair to local speakers and be willing to make a modest contribution. They should not expect local experts to speak for free, while overseas experts command a large fee. We have to be fair to our local people.

Many of these conference organisers or media company make a profit and can afford to make a modest donation or pay a modest fee. It will not create any significant dent in their profits.

It is easy to be cheated (8) - Your private banker

Wealthy people have private bankers. These private banks are welll trained to convince the customer to invest in exotic products that are created by the financial institutions. These products are quite complicated and are not well publicised. It is easy for the unsavvy investor to be conned into investing in products that have high profit and expense margins for the financial institution.
When the investor found out that the product made a big loss, there is nothing that they can do. The private banker will explain that the market has gone against them. But in reality, the products usually would not give a corresponding return when the market goes in their favour, as a large part of the profit would have been taken away by the financial institution.
The private banker may encourage the customer to invest in certain currencies, shares or other assets that are traded in the open market or exchanges. As the prices of these products move every second, it is not easy for the customer to know if they have been given the fair prices. It is possible for the prices to be inflated or deflated, to the detriment of the customer.
The customer has to rely on the honesty of the private banker or the financial institution in giving the correct price. But, in recent years, there is lack of honesty as financial institutions searched for higher profits.
When times are bad, and financial instituions make losses on their own portfolio, it is easy for them to find some way to push these losses to their unsuspecting customers. The customer does not know if the transactions are properly audited.
Many people have lost large sums of money by acting on the recommendations of the private bankers or wealth managers. They are not sure if the losses are just due to the market or to dishonest practices of these intermediaries.
Tan Kin Lian